Ontario | Ontario | Urban
Ontario Riding 100
Population 104,922 | Eligible voters 92,848 | Expected turnout 55.1%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
35.0%
Liberal
32.7%
NDP
18.7%
Green
10.0%
PPC
3.6%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED100 Incumbent | 78 | 55 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED100 | 73 | 65 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED100 | 57 | 40 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED100 | 44 | 57 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED100 | 43 | 37 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED100 | 40 | 30 |
Issue Values
Economy and Growth
Salience 96
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 93
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 80
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Health Care Funding
Salience 78
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 76
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 75
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Government Spending
Salience 74
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Immigration Levels
Salience 72
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Canada-US Relations
Salience 68
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 66
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 66
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Labour and Unions
Salience 63
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Climate Action
Salience 61
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 59
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Social Values
Salience 59
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Regional Alienation
Salience 55
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Taxation
Salience 54
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Natural Resources
Salience 54
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Drug Policy
Salience 50
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 48
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 47
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Education and Skills
Salience 41
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Democratic Reform
Salience 38
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions