Ontario | Ontario | Mixed
Ontario Riding 103
Population 101,139 | Eligible voters 94,540 | Expected turnout 69.9%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
37.1%
Liberal
31.2%
NDP
18.0%
Green
6.9%
PPC
6.7%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED103 Incumbent | 77 | 54 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED103 | 72 | 48 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED103 | 62 | 46 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED103 | 51 | 58 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED103 | 38 | 56 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED103 | 35 | 29 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 96
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Health Care Funding
Salience 90
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Taxation
Salience 82
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 81
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Economy and Growth
Salience 78
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 76
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Immigration Levels
Salience 75
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 73
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 71
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 69
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Government Spending
Salience 66
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Climate Action
Salience 65
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Social Values
Salience 60
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Natural Resources
Salience 60
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Regional Alienation
Salience 60
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 58
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Education and Skills
Salience 53
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 51
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Drug Policy
Salience 50
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 47
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Democratic Reform
Salience 46
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Canada-US Relations
Salience 43
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Labour and Unions
Salience 41
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility