Ontario | Ontario | Urban
Ontario Riding 104
Population 91,898 | Eligible voters 78,245 | Expected turnout 59.7%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
33.8%
Liberal
32.3%
NDP
19.2%
Green
9.9%
PPC
4.6%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Green Candidate FED104 | 78 | 57 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED104 | 67 | 60 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED104 Incumbent | 52 | 75 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED104 | 37 | 39 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED104 | 37 | 55 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED104 | 36 | 55 |
Issue Values
Health Care Funding
Salience 89
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Housing Affordability
Salience 88
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 81
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 81
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Economy and Growth
Salience 80
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 78
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Cost of Living
Salience 77
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Taxation
Salience 76
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Climate Action
Salience 72
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 71
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 67
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Canada-US Relations
Salience 61
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Natural Resources
Salience 60
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Government Spending
Salience 59
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Social Values
Salience 57
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Immigration Levels
Salience 57
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Labour and Unions
Salience 56
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Regional Alienation
Salience 56
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Drug Policy
Salience 52
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Education and Skills
Salience 50
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Democratic Reform
Salience 48
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 44
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 43
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 37
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first