Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 114
Population 104,065 | Eligible voters 82,085 | Expected turnout 65.9%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
37.2%
Liberal
32.2%
NDP
16.0%
Green
7.5%
PPC
7.0%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED114 | 73 | 41 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED114 | 62 | 68 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED114 | 59 | 70 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED114 | 55 | 32 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED114 Incumbent | 43 | 53 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED114 | 36 | 37 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Economy and Growth
Salience 94
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Immigration Levels
Salience 87
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Health Care Funding
Salience 86
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Climate Action
Salience 82
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Housing Affordability
Salience 80
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 76
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Social Values
Salience 74
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 71
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Government Spending
Salience 71
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Labour and Unions
Salience 71
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 69
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Regional Alienation
Salience 67
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 67
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Taxation
Salience 65
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Drug Policy
Salience 60
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 57
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Education and Skills
Salience 56
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Natural Resources
Salience 48
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 46
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Canada-US Relations
Salience 44
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 42
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 40
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Democratic Reform
Salience 28
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions