Ontario | Ontario | Mixed
Ontario Riding 115
Population 121,766 | Eligible voters 96,308 | Expected turnout 70.1%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
36.4%
Liberal
32.1%
NDP
18.0%
Green
7.6%
PPC
5.8%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED115 | 79 | 37 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED115 | 79 | 46 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED115 | 74 | 61 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED115 | 70 | 32 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED115 Incumbent | 63 | 62 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED115 | 39 | 36 |
Issue Values
Health Care Funding
Salience 93
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Housing Affordability
Salience 93
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Cost of Living
Salience 84
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Taxation
Salience 84
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 80
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Climate Action
Salience 78
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Economy and Growth
Salience 76
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 75
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Immigration Levels
Salience 71
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Regional Alienation
Salience 70
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Social Values
Salience 69
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 68
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Canada-US Relations
Salience 68
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 68
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Government Spending
Salience 67
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Drug Policy
Salience 66
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 63
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 58
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Natural Resources
Salience 49
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Labour and Unions
Salience 44
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Democratic Reform
Salience 42
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 41
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Education and Skills
Salience 37
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 31
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation