Ontario | Ontario | Urban
Ontario Riding 012
Population 88,612 | Eligible voters 88,044 | Expected turnout 56.7%
Current Local Poll
Liberal
36.4%
Conservative
31.3%
NDP
19.8%
Green
8.0%
PPC
4.4%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED012 | 74 | 70 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED012 | 70 | 80 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED012 Incumbent | 68 | 66 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED012 | 62 | 56 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED012 | 57 | 28 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED012 | 45 | 67 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 96
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Immigration Levels
Salience 88
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Taxation
Salience 86
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Health Care Funding
Salience 83
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 81
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 79
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Economy and Growth
Salience 71
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Canada-US Relations
Salience 69
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Government Spending
Salience 67
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 66
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Climate Action
Salience 65
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Labour and Unions
Salience 65
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 64
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 59
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 59
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Democratic Reform
Salience 56
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Social Values
Salience 53
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Natural Resources
Salience 52
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 51
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Drug Policy
Salience 50
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Regional Alienation
Salience 42
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Education and Skills
Salience 41
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 37
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation