Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 014
Population 106,221 | Eligible voters 80,516 | Expected turnout 53.9%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
36.2%
Liberal
32.4%
NDP
17.0%
PPC
7.6%
Green
6.6%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED014 | 79 | 57 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED014 | 76 | 56 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED014 | 66 | 62 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED014 | 46 | 78 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED014 | 45 | 79 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED014 Incumbent | 43 | 41 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 94
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Health Care Funding
Salience 88
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Housing Affordability
Salience 85
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Economy and Growth
Salience 83
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 80
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Taxation
Salience 79
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Social Values
Salience 73
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Climate Action
Salience 72
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 71
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Government Spending
Salience 69
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Natural Resources
Salience 68
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Labour and Unions
Salience 67
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Immigration Levels
Salience 66
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 60
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Education and Skills
Salience 60
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 59
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 55
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Democratic Reform
Salience 55
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 54
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 49
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 48
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Regional Alienation
Salience 43
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Canada-US Relations
Salience 42
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Drug Policy
Salience 37
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first