Ontario | Ontario | Mixed
Ontario Riding 015
Population 114,544 | Eligible voters 71,374 | Expected turnout 61.3%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
34.7%
Liberal
31.9%
NDP
18.9%
Green
9.1%
PPC
5.2%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED015 | 79 | 64 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED015 | 66 | 80 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED015 | 66 | 32 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED015 | 55 | 55 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED015 | 51 | 57 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED015 Incumbent | 48 | 46 |
Issue Values
Health Care Funding
Salience 95
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Housing Affordability
Salience 95
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Cost of Living
Salience 89
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Economy and Growth
Salience 89
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Taxation
Salience 82
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Immigration Levels
Salience 78
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Natural Resources
Salience 73
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 72
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Government Spending
Salience 71
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 66
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Climate Action
Salience 63
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Regional Alienation
Salience 61
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 59
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 59
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Social Values
Salience 58
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 55
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 54
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 52
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Labour and Unions
Salience 51
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Canada-US Relations
Salience 50
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 48
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Drug Policy
Salience 44
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Education and Skills
Salience 42
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Democratic Reform
Salience 33
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions