Ontario | Ontario | Urban
Ontario Riding 016
Population 109,547 | Eligible voters 61,882 | Expected turnout 63.1%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
34.1%
Liberal
32.3%
NDP
19.3%
Green
9.4%
PPC
4.8%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Green Candidate FED016 | 81 | 70 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED016 | 74 | 49 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED016 | 60 | 48 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED016 | 56 | 62 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED016 | 55 | 71 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED016 Incumbent | 55 | 77 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 94
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Health Care Funding
Salience 87
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Taxation
Salience 78
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 76
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Immigration Levels
Salience 75
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 72
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Economy and Growth
Salience 69
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Climate Action
Salience 67
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 66
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 65
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Natural Resources
Salience 59
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 58
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Government Spending
Salience 56
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 51
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Labour and Unions
Salience 51
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 50
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Regional Alienation
Salience 48
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Social Values
Salience 44
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Canada-US Relations
Salience 41
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Democratic Reform
Salience 40
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Drug Policy
Salience 40
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 39
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Education and Skills
Salience 38
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training