Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 018
Population 125,334 | Eligible voters 57,255 | Expected turnout 56.0%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
37.1%
Liberal
32.5%
NDP
16.9%
PPC
7.4%
Green
6.0%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED018 | 80 | 40 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED018 Incumbent | 74 | 61 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED018 | 73 | 45 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED018 | 63 | 56 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED018 | 48 | 61 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED018 | 48 | 75 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 96
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Health Care Funding
Salience 87
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Economy and Growth
Salience 85
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 72
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Immigration Levels
Salience 70
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Government Spending
Salience 65
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 65
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 64
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Regional Alienation
Salience 63
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Climate Action
Salience 60
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Natural Resources
Salience 60
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 59
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 57
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Taxation
Salience 56
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 54
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Democratic Reform
Salience 53
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Labour and Unions
Salience 51
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 49
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 48
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Social Values
Salience 43
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Canada-US Relations
Salience 41
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Education and Skills
Salience 38
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Drug Policy
Salience 36
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first