Ontario | Ontario | Mixed
Ontario Riding 019
Population 103,432 | Eligible voters 91,181 | Expected turnout 64.9%
Current Local Poll
Liberal
36.0%
Conservative
32.8%
NDP
17.3%
Green
7.3%
PPC
6.6%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED019 | 77 | 66 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED019 | 74 | 77 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED019 | 74 | 52 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED019 | 45 | 28 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED019 Incumbent | 42 | 75 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED019 | 35 | 38 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Health Care Funding
Salience 96
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Economy and Growth
Salience 88
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 85
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Climate Action
Salience 80
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Housing Affordability
Salience 78
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Taxation
Salience 77
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Immigration Levels
Salience 73
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Labour and Unions
Salience 67
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Natural Resources
Salience 65
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 64
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Government Spending
Salience 61
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 61
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 58
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 56
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Education and Skills
Salience 56
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Social Values
Salience 55
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Regional Alienation
Salience 55
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 54
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 53
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 51
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Drug Policy
Salience 46
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Democratic Reform
Salience 46
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Canada-US Relations
Salience 43
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment