Ontario | Ontario | Suburban
Ontario Riding 021
Population 98,923 | Eligible voters 57,019 | Expected turnout 59.7%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
35.9%
Liberal
32.4%
NDP
17.3%
Green
8.2%
PPC
6.1%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Green Candidate FED021 | 82 | 52 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED021 Incumbent | 79 | 72 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED021 | 74 | 31 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED021 | 60 | 56 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED021 | 47 | 47 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED021 | 34 | 52 |
Issue Values
Climate Action
Salience 88
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Government Spending
Salience 86
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Health Care Funding
Salience 85
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Economy and Growth
Salience 84
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Cost of Living
Salience 82
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 76
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 75
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 72
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 71
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Education and Skills
Salience 66
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Drug Policy
Salience 66
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Taxation
Salience 65
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 62
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Immigration Levels
Salience 58
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 58
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Regional Alienation
Salience 52
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Social Values
Salience 51
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Natural Resources
Salience 49
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 48
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 45
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 45
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Labour and Unions
Salience 44
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Canada-US Relations
Salience 41
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Democratic Reform
Salience 30
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions