Manitoba | Prairies | Urban
Manitoba Riding 004
Population 88,355 | Eligible voters 72,386 | Expected turnout 64.2%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
41.6%
Liberal
22.3%
NDP
20.9%
Green
9.0%
PPC
6.2%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED284 | 81 | 51 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED284 | 71 | 62 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED284 | 64 | 44 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED284 | 57 | 67 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED284 Incumbent | 49 | 30 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED284 | 38 | 45 |
Issue Values
Housing Affordability
Salience 96
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Government Spending
Salience 84
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Health Care Funding
Salience 82
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Economy and Growth
Salience 82
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Cost of Living
Salience 78
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 78
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 77
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 77
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Climate Action
Salience 74
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Immigration Levels
Salience 71
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Natural Resources
Salience 71
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 68
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Drug Policy
Salience 66
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Taxation
Salience 66
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 60
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 60
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 55
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Social Values
Salience 46
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Labour and Unions
Salience 44
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Canada-US Relations
Salience 43
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Regional Alienation
Salience 42
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 37
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Education and Skills
Salience 37
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Democratic Reform
Salience 36
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions