Manitoba | Prairies | Urban
Manitoba Riding 012
Population 118,220 | Eligible voters 90,454 | Expected turnout 63.1%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
42.3%
Liberal
23.8%
NDP
20.0%
Green
9.2%
PPC
4.6%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED292 Incumbent | 70 | 32 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED292 | 67 | 69 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED292 | 55 | 45 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED292 | 52 | 27 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED292 | 44 | 63 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED292 | 40 | 32 |
Issue Values
Immigration Levels
Salience 86
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Health Care Funding
Salience 85
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Housing Affordability
Salience 83
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 81
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Cost of Living
Salience 79
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 79
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Taxation
Salience 78
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Economy and Growth
Salience 78
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Government Spending
Salience 76
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Climate Action
Salience 72
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 67
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Regional Alienation
Salience 67
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 64
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Education and Skills
Salience 59
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 59
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 58
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Natural Resources
Salience 58
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Labour and Unions
Salience 57
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 56
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Drug Policy
Salience 46
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Democratic Reform
Salience 44
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Social Values
Salience 42
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Canada-US Relations
Salience 42
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 34
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation