Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 030
Population 115,164 | Eligible voters 92,475 | Expected turnout 69.7%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
37.0%
Liberal
31.4%
NDP
17.9%
Green
7.1%
PPC
6.6%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED030 | 76 | 80 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED030 Incumbent | 76 | 34 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED030 | 74 | 43 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED030 | 55 | 79 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED030 | 43 | 34 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED030 | 38 | 51 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 94
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Immigration Levels
Salience 84
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Economy and Growth
Salience 76
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Housing Affordability
Salience 76
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 75
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Climate Action
Salience 74
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Taxation
Salience 71
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Labour and Unions
Salience 70
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Health Care Funding
Salience 69
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 69
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 68
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Regional Alienation
Salience 66
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Government Spending
Salience 65
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 62
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 62
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 61
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Natural Resources
Salience 55
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 55
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Social Values
Salience 51
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Canada-US Relations
Salience 46
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Drug Policy
Salience 45
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Education and Skills
Salience 40
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 36
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Democratic Reform
Salience 32
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions