Ontario | Ontario | Mixed
Ontario Riding 031
Population 77,994 | Eligible voters 68,790 | Expected turnout 69.2%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
36.4%
Liberal
33.1%
NDP
17.5%
Green
7.4%
PPC
5.5%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED031 | 79 | 40 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED031 Incumbent | 74 | 65 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED031 | 69 | 81 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED031 | 61 | 47 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED031 | 51 | 43 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED031 | 39 | 58 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 96
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 81
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Economy and Growth
Salience 80
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Climate Action
Salience 79
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 79
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 77
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Immigration Levels
Salience 75
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Taxation
Salience 74
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Health Care Funding
Salience 74
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 70
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 69
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Drug Policy
Salience 59
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Natural Resources
Salience 58
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Government Spending
Salience 57
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Social Values
Salience 55
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Labour and Unions
Salience 49
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 48
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Canada-US Relations
Salience 47
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 47
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 44
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Education and Skills
Salience 44
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Regional Alienation
Salience 41
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Democratic Reform
Salience 36
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions