New Brunswick | Atlantic | Suburban
Fredericton
Population 114,748 | Eligible voters 82,992 | Expected turnout 60.8%
Current Local Poll
Liberal
40.1%
Conservative
29.3%
NDP
17.2%
Green
7.6%
PPC
5.7%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED320 Incumbent | 70 | 29 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED320 | 68 | 56 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED320 | 51 | 71 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED320 | 45 | 76 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED320 | 40 | 68 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED320 | 37 | 47 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Health Care Funding
Salience 96
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Climate Action
Salience 88
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Immigration Levels
Salience 87
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Housing Affordability
Salience 83
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 79
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 76
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Economy and Growth
Salience 76
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Regional Alienation
Salience 69
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Taxation
Salience 68
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Government Spending
Salience 67
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 64
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Natural Resources
Salience 62
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 61
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 57
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 57
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Labour and Unions
Salience 56
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Democratic Reform
Salience 55
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 54
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Canada-US Relations
Salience 49
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Social Values
Salience 48
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 40
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Education and Skills
Salience 36
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Drug Policy
Salience 35
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first