New Brunswick | Atlantic | Rural
Moncton
Population 123,465 | Eligible voters 65,771 | Expected turnout 64.7%
Current Local Poll
Liberal
40.2%
Conservative
30.6%
NDP
14.7%
PPC
7.2%
Green
7.2%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED321 | 69 | 37 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED321 Incumbent | 62 | 61 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED321 | 53 | 53 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED321 | 52 | 71 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED321 | 40 | 59 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED321 | 37 | 49 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 94
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Economy and Growth
Salience 90
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Health Care Funding
Salience 83
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 75
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 75
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Government Spending
Salience 74
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Immigration Levels
Salience 71
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Climate Action
Salience 70
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Taxation
Salience 69
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Labour and Unions
Salience 65
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 65
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Natural Resources
Salience 64
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Education and Skills
Salience 62
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 62
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Social Values
Salience 59
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 58
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Drug Policy
Salience 58
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 56
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Canada-US Relations
Salience 52
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Democratic Reform
Salience 50
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Regional Alienation
Salience 49
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 43
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 40
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first