New Brunswick | Atlantic | Urban
New Brunswick Riding 004
Population 124,536 | Eligible voters 76,252 | Expected turnout 54.1%
Current Local Poll
Liberal
40.8%
Conservative
27.8%
NDP
18.6%
Green
9.0%
PPC
3.7%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED323 | 51 | 51 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED323 | 51 | 57 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED323 | 49 | 31 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED323 | 45 | 70 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED323 Incumbent | 45 | 48 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED323 | 39 | 41 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Economy and Growth
Salience 91
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Climate Action
Salience 88
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Government Spending
Salience 85
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Health Care Funding
Salience 80
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Taxation
Salience 79
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Housing Affordability
Salience 76
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Immigration Levels
Salience 76
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 73
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 69
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Labour and Unions
Salience 63
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 61
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 59
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Regional Alienation
Salience 59
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Natural Resources
Salience 57
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 57
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Social Values
Salience 55
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 54
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Democratic Reform
Salience 54
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 54
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Drug Policy
Salience 53
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 52
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Canada-US Relations
Salience 51
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Education and Skills
Salience 49
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training