Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 034
Population 131,440 | Eligible voters 74,699 | Expected turnout 57.1%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
40.0%
Liberal
31.5%
NDP
15.3%
PPC
8.0%
Green
5.1%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED034 | 67 | 70 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED034 Incumbent | 57 | 79 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED034 | 48 | 57 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED034 | 45 | 35 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED034 | 42 | 34 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED034 | 38 | 52 |
Issue Values
Housing Affordability
Salience 96
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Climate Action
Salience 88
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Cost of Living
Salience 81
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 81
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Taxation
Salience 75
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Economy and Growth
Salience 75
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Health Care Funding
Salience 71
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 70
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Government Spending
Salience 69
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Drug Policy
Salience 66
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Social Values
Salience 66
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Canada-US Relations
Salience 65
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 62
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Labour and Unions
Salience 59
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 59
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Natural Resources
Salience 58
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Immigration Levels
Salience 57
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 55
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Regional Alienation
Salience 52
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 52
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Education and Skills
Salience 46
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 45
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 32
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Democratic Reform
Salience 30
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions