Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 038
Population 83,964 | Eligible voters 95,480 | Expected turnout 66.2%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
36.6%
Liberal
32.9%
NDP
16.7%
PPC
7.1%
Green
6.6%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED038 | 79 | 69 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED038 | 66 | 72 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED038 | 59 | 58 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED038 | 58 | 71 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED038 | 50 | 54 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED038 Incumbent | 37 | 26 |
Issue Values
Housing Affordability
Salience 95
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Cost of Living
Salience 84
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 80
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Health Care Funding
Salience 78
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Economy and Growth
Salience 77
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 76
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 76
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Immigration Levels
Salience 72
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Climate Action
Salience 69
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Government Spending
Salience 69
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Social Values
Salience 67
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 65
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Regional Alienation
Salience 63
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Drug Policy
Salience 62
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Taxation
Salience 57
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 57
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Labour and Unions
Salience 51
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 50
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Canada-US Relations
Salience 48
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Natural Resources
Salience 48
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Democratic Reform
Salience 43
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Education and Skills
Salience 37
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 37
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 36
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation