Ontario | Ontario | Mixed
Ontario Riding 039
Population 114,889 | Eligible voters 75,058 | Expected turnout 63.2%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
36.5%
Liberal
33.2%
NDP
17.2%
Green
8.0%
PPC
5.0%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED039 Incumbent | 81 | 45 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED039 | 74 | 42 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED039 | 68 | 32 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED039 | 51 | 78 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED039 | 48 | 34 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED039 | 33 | 50 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 92
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 91
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Economy and Growth
Salience 82
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Immigration Levels
Salience 81
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 77
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Government Spending
Salience 77
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Health Care Funding
Salience 73
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Social Values
Salience 70
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Climate Action
Salience 68
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Taxation
Salience 68
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 65
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Natural Resources
Salience 61
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Labour and Unions
Salience 59
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 57
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Education and Skills
Salience 55
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 54
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Canada-US Relations
Salience 52
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 52
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Democratic Reform
Salience 50
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 49
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 45
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Regional Alienation
Salience 40
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Drug Policy
Salience 37
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 33
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation