Ontario | Ontario | Urban
Ontario Riding 040
Population 90,320 | Eligible voters 82,056 | Expected turnout 57.5%
Current Local Poll
Liberal
35.8%
Conservative
31.7%
NDP
18.3%
Green
8.7%
PPC
5.4%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED040 | 80 | 73 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED040 | 71 | 35 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED040 | 70 | 52 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED040 | 67 | 80 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED040 Incumbent | 48 | 45 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED040 | 35 | 45 |
Issue Values
Economy and Growth
Salience 96
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 89
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Taxation
Salience 85
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Health Care Funding
Salience 76
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Natural Resources
Salience 71
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 70
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 70
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Canada-US Relations
Salience 70
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 68
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Regional Alienation
Salience 67
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Climate Action
Salience 65
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Labour and Unions
Salience 63
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Government Spending
Salience 62
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Immigration Levels
Salience 62
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Drug Policy
Salience 62
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 61
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Education and Skills
Salience 61
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Social Values
Salience 59
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 51
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 50
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 48
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 41
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Democratic Reform
Salience 30
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions