Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 042
Population 91,638 | Eligible voters 61,325 | Expected turnout 57.5%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
37.2%
Liberal
31.5%
NDP
16.0%
PPC
9.0%
Green
6.2%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED042 | 76 | 50 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED042 | 66 | 29 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED042 | 66 | 47 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED042 | 47 | 55 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED042 Incumbent | 37 | 64 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED042 | 34 | 47 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Health Care Funding
Salience 93
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Immigration Levels
Salience 84
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Housing Affordability
Salience 82
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Climate Action
Salience 78
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Government Spending
Salience 75
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Natural Resources
Salience 75
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 72
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Economy and Growth
Salience 68
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Social Values
Salience 67
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Education and Skills
Salience 64
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 59
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 58
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 58
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 55
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Taxation
Salience 55
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 54
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Regional Alienation
Salience 51
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 48
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Canada-US Relations
Salience 47
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Labour and Unions
Salience 45
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Drug Policy
Salience 36
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 34
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Democratic Reform
Salience 32
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions