Ontario | Ontario | Urban
Ontario Riding 044
Population 87,201 | Eligible voters 72,938 | Expected turnout 60.6%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
34.6%
Liberal
34.0%
NDP
18.7%
Green
9.0%
PPC
3.6%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED044 | 70 | 29 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED044 | 69 | 41 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED044 Incumbent | 62 | 51 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED044 | 61 | 35 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED044 | 60 | 69 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED044 | 41 | 32 |
Issue Values
Economy and Growth
Salience 91
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Cost of Living
Salience 85
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Immigration Levels
Salience 78
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Housing Affordability
Salience 75
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 75
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Health Care Funding
Salience 74
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Taxation
Salience 73
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 70
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Climate Action
Salience 68
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 68
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 68
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Regional Alienation
Salience 67
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 61
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Education and Skills
Salience 61
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Government Spending
Salience 55
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Social Values
Salience 55
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Drug Policy
Salience 51
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Labour and Unions
Salience 47
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 47
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Natural Resources
Salience 46
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Canada-US Relations
Salience 40
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 39
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 39
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Democratic Reform
Salience 37
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions