Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 046
Population 129,140 | Eligible voters 86,629 | Expected turnout 67.9%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
35.9%
Liberal
31.8%
NDP
18.0%
Green
7.6%
PPC
6.5%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED046 | 82 | 69 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED046 | 71 | 70 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED046 | 70 | 38 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED046 Incumbent | 58 | 33 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED046 | 51 | 81 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED046 | 39 | 74 |
Issue Values
Housing Affordability
Salience 96
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Taxation
Salience 86
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Cost of Living
Salience 83
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 80
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Health Care Funding
Salience 78
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Immigration Levels
Salience 74
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Economy and Growth
Salience 74
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Government Spending
Salience 73
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Social Values
Salience 72
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 70
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 69
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Regional Alienation
Salience 68
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Drug Policy
Salience 61
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 61
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 61
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Climate Action
Salience 60
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 59
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Natural Resources
Salience 49
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Education and Skills
Salience 47
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 45
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Canada-US Relations
Salience 42
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Labour and Unions
Salience 42
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 37
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Democratic Reform
Salience 30
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions