Ontario | Ontario | Urban
Ontario Riding 048
Population 94,996 | Eligible voters 67,298 | Expected turnout 54.6%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
34.1%
Liberal
33.6%
NDP
19.8%
Green
8.7%
PPC
3.8%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED048 | 72 | 33 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED048 | 67 | 38 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED048 Incumbent | 58 | 55 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED048 | 48 | 71 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED048 | 41 | 30 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED048 | 36 | 74 |
Issue Values
Economy and Growth
Salience 87
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Taxation
Salience 86
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Cost of Living
Salience 85
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 84
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Health Care Funding
Salience 80
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Climate Action
Salience 75
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 74
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Immigration Levels
Salience 72
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Labour and Unions
Salience 68
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 67
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 67
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Canada-US Relations
Salience 63
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Education and Skills
Salience 58
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Government Spending
Salience 58
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Social Values
Salience 57
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 57
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 55
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Natural Resources
Salience 55
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 54
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Drug Policy
Salience 53
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Democratic Reform
Salience 50
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 49
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Regional Alienation
Salience 40
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 34
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation