Canadian Election Simulator
Ontario | Ontario | Suburban

Ontario Riding 049

Population 118,842 | Eligible voters 82,030 | Expected turnout 53.4%

Current Local Poll

Liberal
37.4%
Conservative
30.7%
NDP
18.5%
Green
8.2%
PPC
5.1%
Bloc
0.1%

Candidates

PartyCandidateQualityGround
Bloc Bloc Candidate FED049 79 68
Green Green Candidate FED049 74 47
NDP NDP Candidate FED049 58 81
PPC PPC Candidate FED049 52 56
Liberal Liberal Candidate FED049 Incumbent 49 78
Conservative Conservative Candidate FED049 39 45

Issue Values

Cost of Living Salience 93
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Climate Action Salience 89
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Immigration Levels Salience 86
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Seniors and Pensions Salience 85
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Government Spending Salience 84
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Housing Affordability Salience 76
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Health Care Funding Salience 76
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Energy and Pipelines Salience 70
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Economy and Growth Salience 69
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Canada-US Relations Salience 68
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Taxation Salience 68
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Indigenous Reconciliation Salience 66
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
French Language and Quebec Autonomy Salience 54
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Natural Resources Salience 54
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Public Safety and Crime Salience 53
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Foreign Policy and Defence Salience 51
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Labour and Unions Salience 50
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Social Values Salience 49
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Drug Policy Salience 49
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy Salience 45
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Agriculture and Rural Policy Salience 45
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Regional Alienation Salience 44
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Education and Skills Salience 36
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Democratic Reform Salience 32
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions