Ontario | Ontario | Mixed
Ontario Riding 051
Population 89,298 | Eligible voters 80,628 | Expected turnout 63.6%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
36.3%
Liberal
33.1%
NDP
17.9%
Green
7.8%
PPC
4.8%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED051 | 76 | 33 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED051 Incumbent | 76 | 28 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED051 | 70 | 49 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED051 | 55 | 69 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED051 | 46 | 78 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED051 | 41 | 35 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Health Care Funding
Salience 93
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Housing Affordability
Salience 92
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 79
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 78
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Immigration Levels
Salience 77
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Taxation
Salience 74
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Natural Resources
Salience 74
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Social Values
Salience 72
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 72
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Economy and Growth
Salience 69
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Labour and Unions
Salience 66
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Government Spending
Salience 64
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Climate Action
Salience 63
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 62
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 61
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Canada-US Relations
Salience 60
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 59
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Drug Policy
Salience 57
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Education and Skills
Salience 48
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 46
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 43
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Democratic Reform
Salience 43
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Regional Alienation
Salience 42
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy