Ontario | Ontario | Urban
Ontario Riding 052
Population 84,691 | Eligible voters 58,828 | Expected turnout 66.6%
Current Local Poll
Liberal
33.7%
Conservative
33.7%
NDP
18.8%
Green
8.7%
PPC
4.9%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED052 Incumbent | 70 | 70 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED052 | 67 | 79 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED052 | 65 | 64 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED052 | 61 | 63 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED052 | 47 | 65 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED052 | 40 | 79 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 84
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability
Salience 81
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Government Spending
Salience 78
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Immigration Levels
Salience 78
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 77
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 75
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Climate Action
Salience 75
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Taxation
Salience 72
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 72
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Health Care Funding
Salience 70
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Economy and Growth
Salience 69
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Labour and Unions
Salience 61
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 60
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Social Values
Salience 60
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 60
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 57
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 57
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Canada-US Relations
Salience 54
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 52
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Democratic Reform
Salience 48
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Natural Resources
Salience 47
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Regional Alienation
Salience 45
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Drug Policy
Salience 37
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Education and Skills
Salience 34
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training