Ontario | Ontario | Suburban
Hamilton Centre
Population 85,152 | Eligible voters 85,469 | Expected turnout 58.4%
Current Local Poll
Liberal
36.7%
Conservative
32.4%
NDP
17.7%
Green
7.6%
PPC
5.5%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED005 | 65 | 26 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED005 | 65 | 74 |
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED005 | 45 | 76 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED005 | 45 | 41 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED005 Incumbent | 44 | 53 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED005 | 36 | 32 |
Issue Values
Cost of Living
Salience 92
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Health Care Funding
Salience 90
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Climate Action
Salience 86
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 79
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Housing Affordability
Salience 77
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 75
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Government Spending
Salience 75
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Immigration Levels
Salience 74
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Economy and Growth
Salience 69
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Taxation
Salience 65
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 61
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 61
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Labour and Unions
Salience 57
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 55
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Social Values
Salience 55
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 54
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Education and Skills
Salience 54
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Regional Alienation
Salience 54
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Natural Resources
Salience 53
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 50
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 50
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Drug Policy
Salience 45
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Democratic Reform
Salience 44
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Canada-US Relations
Salience 40
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment