Canadian Election Simulator
Ontario | Ontario | Rural

Ontario Riding 074

Population 82,438 | Eligible voters 78,218 | Expected turnout 57.2%

Current Local Poll

Conservative
35.4%
Liberal
35.3%
NDP
14.6%
PPC
8.7%
Green
5.9%
Bloc
0.1%

Candidates

PartyCandidateQualityGround
Conservative Conservative Candidate FED074 70 77
Liberal Liberal Candidate FED074 Incumbent 65 44
PPC PPC Candidate FED074 61 53
Green Green Candidate FED074 52 61
Bloc Bloc Candidate FED074 49 74
NDP NDP Candidate FED074 48 31

Issue Values

Cost of Living Salience 96
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Housing Affordability Salience 88
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Public Safety and Crime Salience 83
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Climate Action Salience 82
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Economy and Growth Salience 79
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Seniors and Pensions Salience 78
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Health Care Funding Salience 78
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Immigration Levels Salience 76
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Natural Resources Salience 67
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Canada-US Relations Salience 67
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Government Spending Salience 66
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Labour and Unions Salience 66
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Foreign Policy and Defence Salience 65
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Education and Skills Salience 64
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
French Language and Quebec Autonomy Salience 57
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Taxation Salience 57
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Energy and Pipelines Salience 56
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Indigenous Reconciliation Salience 53
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Social Values Salience 53
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Regional Alienation Salience 53
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Technology, AI, and Privacy Salience 46
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Drug Policy Salience 44
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Agriculture and Rural Policy Salience 38
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Democratic Reform Salience 37
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions