Canadian Election Simulator
Ontario | Ontario | Rural

Ontario Riding 078

Population 114,058 | Eligible voters 58,540 | Expected turnout 70.0%

Current Local Poll

Conservative
36.9%
Liberal
33.1%
NDP
16.4%
PPC
8.5%
Green
5.0%
Bloc
0.1%

Candidates

PartyCandidateQualityGround
PPC PPC Candidate FED078 77 80
Bloc Bloc Candidate FED078 76 54
Conservative Conservative Candidate FED078 Incumbent 71 37
Liberal Liberal Candidate FED078 61 62
Green Green Candidate FED078 37 37
NDP NDP Candidate FED078 33 58

Issue Values

Housing Affordability Salience 84
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Cost of Living Salience 83
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Economy and Growth Salience 81
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
French Language and Quebec Autonomy Salience 79
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Immigration Levels Salience 77
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Seniors and Pensions Salience 76
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Indigenous Reconciliation Salience 73
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Foreign Policy and Defence Salience 72
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Health Care Funding Salience 69
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Labour and Unions Salience 69
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Agriculture and Rural Policy Salience 67
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Regional Alienation Salience 67
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Public Safety and Crime Salience 67
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
Taxation Salience 65
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Climate Action Salience 62
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Canada-US Relations Salience 60
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Government Spending Salience 56
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Drug Policy Salience 55
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Natural Resources Salience 55
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Social Values Salience 54
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Energy and Pipelines Salience 53
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Democratic Reform Salience 52
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions
Education and Skills Salience 45
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Technology, AI, and Privacy Salience 34
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation