Ontario | Ontario | Rural
Ontario Riding 086
Population 99,642 | Eligible voters 77,484 | Expected turnout 53.5%
Current Local Poll
Conservative
38.0%
Liberal
31.6%
NDP
15.1%
PPC
8.6%
Green
6.7%
Bloc
0.1%
Candidates
| Party | Candidate | Quality | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|
| PPC | PPC Candidate FED086 | 82 | 28 |
| Green | Green Candidate FED086 | 58 | 73 |
| Liberal | Liberal Candidate FED086 | 47 | 70 |
| Conservative | Conservative Candidate FED086 Incumbent | 46 | 33 |
| Bloc | Bloc Candidate FED086 | 42 | 68 |
| NDP | NDP Candidate FED086 | 33 | 51 |
Issue Values
Housing Affordability
Salience 96
Public/non-profit buildout | Mixed supply and demand policy | Private supply and deregulation
Economy and Growth
Salience 96
Redistribution and public investment | Balanced mixed economy | Lower taxes and private growth
Health Care Funding
Salience 92
National public expansion | Conditional federal transfers | Provincial flexibility
Immigration Levels
Salience 88
High immigration with supports | Managed immigration | Lower immigration
Cost of Living
Salience 81
Direct affordability supports | Targeted relief | Tax cuts and competition
Climate Action
Salience 80
Aggressive emissions policy | Balanced transition | Minimal regulation
Government Spending
Salience 79
Expand services | Selective spending | Reduce spending/deficits
Energy and Pipelines
Salience 78
Rapid transition away from fossil fuels | Transition with resource jobs | Expand production and pipelines
Public Safety and Crime
Salience 76
Prevention and rehabilitation | Balanced enforcement | Tougher sentencing/policing
French Language and Quebec Autonomy
Salience 73
Federal bilingual/national standards | Asymmetrical federalism | More provincial autonomy
Indigenous Reconciliation
Salience 69
Rights/self-government focus | Negotiated partnership | Resource certainty/limited expansion
Regional Alienation
Salience 68
National equity programs | Regional compromise | Strong regional autonomy
Natural Resources
Salience 64
Strict environmental limits | Managed development | Resource-first development
Agriculture and Rural Policy
Salience 64
Public rural services | Mixed rural investment | Market/agriculture-first
Canada-US Relations
Salience 64
Independence from US pressure | Pragmatic partnership | Closer US alignment
Taxation
Salience 63
Higher taxes on wealth/high incomes | Targeted tax credits | Broad tax reductions
Education and Skills
Salience 63
Public training expansion | Targeted skills programs | Employer-led training
Foreign Policy and Defence
Salience 63
Diplomacy/development focus | Balanced alliances | Higher defence/hard power
Seniors and Pensions
Salience 60
Expand public pensions | Target low-income seniors | Tax-preferred private savings
Social Values
Salience 58
Progressive rights focus | Pluralist/status quo | Traditional values
Labour and Unions
Salience 52
Stronger labour rights | Status quo bargaining | Employer flexibility
Drug Policy
Salience 43
Harm reduction/public health | Mixed model | Enforcement-first
Technology, AI, and Privacy
Salience 37
Strong regulation/privacy | Innovation with guardrails | Innovation-first deregulation
Democratic Reform
Salience 30
Electoral reform/transparency | Incremental reform | Keep existing institutions